Forex Trading: 08/28/11

Sunday, 28 August 2011

Oil Doesn’t Stop Falling, Drags Ruble Along

Today the Russian ruble continued to indicate a downward trend as crude oil continued to decline, dropping below $81 per barrel on the speculation demand for fuel can wane as the international growth is stalling. Currently the Russian currency erased its losses, but it’s unclear how long may it maintain gains.

Oil, the main export revenue earner for Russia, slumped 2.4 percent to $80.83 before trading at $80.81. Crude has fallen five.7 percent over this week and headed for a fourth weekly drop. The Russian currency weakened 1.3 percent yesterday and 0.2 percent over this week. Investors increased bid that the ruble can decline any.

USD/RUB fell from 29.1175 to 29.0787 as of 15:24 GMT today, while during the trading session the currency pair reached the daily high of 29.3575.

Canadian Dollar Feels Pressure from Falling Stocks & Commodities

Outlook for the future of the global economy once more worsened among investors, creating them less interested in higher-yielding currencies. The Canadian dollar was one in every of the victims of such pessimistic sentiment.

September futures for delivery of crude oil (the major export commodity of Canada) slumped the maximum amount as 7.3 % to $81.15 a barrel in the big apple. The Thomson Reuters/Jefferies CRB index dropped 2.3 percent. The S&P/TSX Composite index subtracted three.1 percent. the quality & Poor’s five hundred index lost four.5 percent.

The report tomorrow is predicted to show inflation in Canada slowed. The Canadian currency fell against the euro and the yen yesterday, but managed to recover a trifle at the beginning of the new trading session. The loonie continued to fall against the greenback these days.

USD/CAD traded near 0.9912 today as of 00:30 GMT after jumping yesterday from 0.9806 to 0.9903. EUR/CAD fell to 1.4176 on today’s trading session after it advanced from 1.4143 to 1.4193 on the previous session. CAD/JPY was at 77.43, while yesterday it fell from 78.05 to close at 77.25.

Cheaper Oil Means Weaker Ruble

Russia’s ruble weakened these days once crude oil declined, reacting to the negative data concerning the US unemployment claims that reduced hopes for improvement of the economy within the US.

The jobless claims came out at 408,000 last week, worse than predicted 402,000. Higher unemployment suggests that slower economic growth and, as a consequence, less demand for fuel. Futures for delivery of crude oil in September fell 1.6 percent to $86.19 per barrel. Oil is the major source of export revenue for Russia.

USD/RUB rose from 28.7645 to 29.1050 today as of 13:58 GMT. The daily high for the currency pair was at 29.1733.

CAD Gains vs. USD as Investors Seek Higher Yield

The Canadian dollar advanced against its US counterpart as market sentiment improved, creating investors a lot of willing to risk and appearance for higher-yielding currencies. The currency was down against the euro and the yen.

The Producer value Index within the US, the major trading partner of Canada, rose 0.2 p.c in July, following the drop by zero.4 p.c in June. Market analysts expected no change. Futures on crude oil (the key Canadian export) gained 1.9 p.c to $88.32 per barrel. the standard & Poor’s five hundred Index climbed 1 p.c.

The loonie (as Canada’s currency is usually nicknamed) was down two.4 p.c this month on the mounting sings of issues within the world economy. The necessary report about the inflation in Canada are going to be released on August nineteen. maybe even a lot of impact on the Canadian currency can have a testament by Bank of Canada Governor Mark Carney later that day.

USD/CAD fell from 0.9823 to 0.9809 as of 17:34 GMT today. EUR/CAD was a little higher at 1.4162 compared to the opening price of 1.4148, following the slump to 1.4083 earlier this day. CAD/JPY was down from 78.12 to 77.92.

Canadian Dollar Receives Hit from US

Canada’s dollar plunged nowadays as demand for the nation’s assets deteriorated as a result of pessimistic outlook for the economy of the biggest nation’s trading partner — the US.

The depressed mood caused fall of equities and decline of commodities. The MSCI World Index of stocks slumped 1.9 percent, while the standard & Poor’s 500 Index fell as much as a pair of.1 percent.

There are positive sing, though, which will precede a change of the trend. The S&P/TSX Composite Index rose zero.4 percent. Crude oil, the most export of Canada, rallied 3.2 percent to $81.82 per barrel. Yield on the two-year government bonds fell 5 basis points to zero.81 percent.

USD/CAD jumped from 0.9771 to 0.9921 as of 19:19 GMT today. EUR/CAD advanced from 1.4044 to 1.4088 after reaching the intraday high of 1.4174. CAD/JPY fell from 78.70 to 77.38 and declined during the day to 76.82, the lowest level since March 2009.

BOC Rate Statement Invigorates Loonie

The Canadian dollar jumped these days after Canada’s central bank held interest rates and signaled that it will resume its rates increases soon as economy improves.

The Bank of Canada maintained its key Overnight Rate at one percent and wrote in the statement:

To the extent that the expansion continues and the current material excess supply in the economy is gradually absorbed, some of the considerable monetary policy stimulus currently in place will be withdrawn. Such reduction would need to be carefully considered.

Tomorrow the bank can release the monetary Policy report, followed by the press conference.

The advance of crude oil and also the gains of stocks busted the Canadian currency further. August futures for delivery of crude oil rose a pair of.2 percent to $98.07 per barrel on NYMEX. The MSCI World Index of stocks of developed economies climbed one.3 percent.

USD/CAD slumped from 0.9592 to 0.9507 as of 17:05 GMT today after reaching 0.9480, the lowest level since May 3. EUR/CAD dropped from 1.3540 to 1.3456 after posting the intraday low of 1.3438, the lowest price since March 11. CAD/JPY jumped from 82.32 to 82.96.

Iraqi Dinar: Main Drivers & Redenomination

Iraqi dinar are often an interesting possibility for traders who search for currencies with nice potential for profit. but such potential typically comes with higher risk. How investor will predict performance of the dinar?

The first factor to recollect is that Iraq is one of the biggest world exporters of oil, therefore performance of its currency depends on prices for this commodity. Currently oil shows an upward trend, so the Iraqi currency ought to gain. Conversely, decline of oil would hurt the currency. Geopolitical scenario in Middle East is another issue to think about. Wars, social unrest and other threats for stability of the region would cut back attractiveness of its assets, as well as the currency of Iraq.

One factor that worries Forex traders is the planned redenomination of the dinar. Some market participants voiced concern that it’ll be tampering with currency exchange rates. The nation’s central bank claimed that the redenomination is performed simply to simplify transactions in the country, where money is the prelevant methodology of cash exchange. Ahmed Ibrihi, the Deputy Governor of Central Bank of Iraq, stated:

Some people imagine that the state wants to influence prices or exchange rates (a reduction or waiver) by the deletion of zeros and this is not true.

All in all, impact of the redenomination on the Forex market isn’t clear nonetheless. Excluding this uncertainty, the future of the dinar in the short to medium term

Ruble Goes Down with Oil Prices

The Russian ruble fell these days as crude oil, the main supply of Russia’s export revenue, declined for the second day on issues for the recovery of the world economy.

August futures for crude oil delivery fell $0.98 (1 percent) to $95.29 a barrel. Crude retreated 10 % in June to very cheap in eight months. Economists say that the ruble are going to be driven by global market trends instead of the improving domestic conditions.

USD/RUB rose from 28.1965 to 28.2816 as of 15:06 GMT today after falling to 28.0185.

Ruble Falls with Crude Oil

The Russian ruble fell nowadays, when 5 sessions of gains against the US greenback, as crude oil, the most source of the nation’s export revenue, trimmed gains in new york.

August contract for crude oil delivery traded little changed at $96.87 per barrel when it advanced earlier by $0.9 per barrel. Crude paired its gains in new york when the greenback advanced versus the euro. The ruble fell 0.3 percent, the biggest intraday drop in additional than every week.

USD/RUB climbed from 27.7820 to 27.8720 today as of 13:03 GMT.

Canadian Dollar Jumps, Ending Very Good Week

The Canadian dollar jumped these days, ending in the week without losses against its US counterpart, as risk appetite, caused by the advance of the Greek scenario, spurred demand for higher-yielding currencies.

Canada’s gross domestic product was unchanged in April after increasing 0.3 p.c in March, whereas a drop by 0.1 p.c was expected. Crude oil, the main Canada’s export, advanced 4.2 p.c in the week, the most important weekly gain since the week ended April 8. The unexpected increase of the producing buying Managers’ Index of the US, the main trading partner of Canada, was also positive for the Canadian currency.

Next week we will also see some positive news. Analysts estimated that range of building permits in Canada grew by five.1 p.c in could. Some negative reports also are expected. For significantly, Canadian employment modification was twelve,700 in June, down from twenty two,300 in May.

USD/CAD closed today at 0.9583 after it opened at 0.9631 and rose to 0.9649. EUR/CAD fell from 1.3966 to 1.3919. CAD/JPY climbed from 83.58 to 84.24.

Fundamentals are Bad for US Dollar, But Week Wasn’t Bad

The fundamentals on were negative for the US dollar, weakening the currency against some major counterparts, however performance of the buck wasn’t that dangerous, considering all the pressure to the downside.

There were lots of dangerous new for the dollar on. dangerous housing knowledge, rising unemployment claims and slower that expected growth of the US economy. The week ended with the speech of Ben Bernanke, who hinted at possibility of extra stimulus while not detailing an actual arrange.

The dollar was dragged down by the unfavorable fundamentals and fell against the euro and commodity currencies (including the currencies of Canada, Australia and New Zealand). On the other hand, the dollar gained against the franc and rallied versus the yen before losing its gains by the top of the week as there aren’t many choices for investors who want a secure currency, however scared of interventions of Japan and Switzerland. The pound conjointly fell against the buck as Britain has its own problems that erase attractiveness of the nation’s currency.

Next week might also be onerous for the dollar. Analysts predict another unfavorable report about hosing and are pessimistic about employment knowledge.

EUR/USD climbed from 1.4376 to 1.4498, while during the week it dropped to 1.4327. USD/CHF climbed from 0.7904 to 0.8058 and reached the daily high of 0.8157. AUD/USD surged from 1.0380 to 1.0569.